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Scott's Stringers

  • Mafia Mouths Off

    The Computers Failed Us but It’s the Humans to Blame!!

    The BCS made the announcement yesterday that surprised few but should enrage many.  That Alabama and LSU will be playing each other in the National Title game in a rematch of their game earlier in the year.  This is ridiculous bias towards the SEC and shows the system is flawed.  Now I’ve been a big proponent of people calling for a short playoff system to be installed to determine the true champion but that is not what this blog post will be about.  Instead, I’ll focus on why I think Oklahoma State deserved to be the team playing LSU for the Crystal Ball and how I blame the human’s involved with the system for it failing to give us the proper matchup.

    You probably want to know why I think Oklahoma State deserved the shot because everyone has their opinions and reasons.  I tend to cite a combination of many people’s arguments as the perfect proof.  Look at the teams resume next to each other like you would if you were doing the NCAA Basketball tourney and trying to decide which team deserved to get in more.  Obviously they have an equal record of 11-1 so that is a wash.  They didn’t play any common opponents so you can’t factor that in at all either.

    Look at their strength of schedule as the next factor.  Now Alabama had 5 teams on their schedule that were ranked at the time that they played them and Oklahoma State only had 4.  But, if you look at where those teams are now, only 3 of the teams Alabama played are ranked in the final poll (Penn State, Arkansas and Auburn) while 2 opponents of Oklahoma State’s stayed ranked but 1 became ranked so they also have 3 (Baylor, Kansas State and Oklahoma).  Now, all 3 of Oklahoma State’s still ranked opponents came in their last 5 games while only 1 of Alabama’s did and that was 4 games ago.  Not to mention, that for all peoples talk about how great the SEC is, Alabama’s opponents they played in conference finished with a 60-49 combined record (.55 winning percentage) while Oklahoma State’s Big 12 conference opponents finished with a 61-47 combined record (.56 winning percentage).    In the last week, Oklahoma State won the 2nd best conference in College Football by blowing out in-state rival Oklahoma, who was pre-season #1 and one of the many teams that people thought could be in the title game a few weeks ago, badly in the conference title game while Alabama was off because they weren’t even in their conference’s title game.

    If you still aren’t convinced that Oklahoma State deserves this chance then look at their losses.  Yes, Alabama’s loss was to a better team in LSU as opposed to Oklahoma State’s loss to Iowa State, but you have to factor in everything involved in the losses.  Alabama had LSU at home in prime time on a Saturday night.  They played better the whole game, had more scoring chances and still couldn’t get the win because they didn’t convert on 3 different field goal opportunities.  They had their shot at LSU and upsetting them, I don’t care if it was a conference game or not, they had their shot and blew it.

    Oklahoma State lost on the road in a short week turnaround, the same day that they found out members of their athletic department died in a plane crash.  They didn’t work with the football program but it’s a smaller school where people in different departments still interact with each other and you never know, some of the players may be dating women’s basketball players and have interacted with those coaches.  Even if they aren’t, when someone in your group passes away it makes you question your own mortality, makes you wonder if it could be you, especially when it’s unnatural circumstances like a plane crash when you have to have to take a trip like that home yourself after that game, if you don’t think that affected their focus you are out of your mind.  So to me, you have to give them some bit of reprieve from counting that loss too hard against them.

    Now obviously a computer isn’t going to let any emotion or other non-statistical things factor into their rankings, so the place where this is going to come in big and factor into the standings is the human element, the polls.  While plenty of people will say that the polls don’t factor in all that much, when push comes to shove, if Oklahoma State had gotten ranked above Alabama where they belonged they would be in the Championship Game.  Instead, you have guys like Saban helping his own cause by not even ranking Oklahoma State at 3 but putting them at 4 and Pinkell at Missouri give his middle finger to the conference he’s leaving and sucking up to his future conference by doing the same.

    The BCS got it wrong once again and just favored the popular team in the popular conference.  People can claim all they want that the computers can’t favor one team over another but since they also use human rankings, where there is plenty of bias in the people voting in it, that’s not the case.  Alabama had their shot and blew it and didn’t deserve another.  Sure, Oklahoma State had a loss that most people consider worse, but you have to factor in everything that was going on around that game and give them the shot they deserve.

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    Follow me on Twitter at @OnAirMafia if you want to hear my thoughts on things a lot more often and in the moment.

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